10 Hardest Dragonair Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Dragonair’s graceful shape suits a wide range of water and sky scenes. Multiple artworks and reverse-holo finishes can appear within the same set. This guide keeps those English printings separate when comparing the existing estimated pack odds.
Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Dragonair ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Dragonair pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 = | Dragonair (149) 149/236Unified Minds · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 200Rough estimate |
| 1 = | Dragonair (150) 150/236Unified Minds · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 200Rough estimate |
| 3 | Dragonair 181/165Pokémon 151 · Holofoil | ~1 in 190 |
| 4 | Dragonair 75/165Expedition · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 160Rough estimate |
| 5 = | Dragonair 52/146Legends Awakened · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 5 = | Dragonair 130/195Silver Tempest · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 5 = | Dragonair 95/149Sun & Moon Base Set · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 5 = | Dragonair 118/181Team Up · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 9 | Dragonair 158/197Obsidian Flames · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 120Rough estimate |
| 10 | Dark Dragonair 38/110Legendary Collection · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 110 |
The hardest-to-pull Dragonair countdown
#10 · Dark Dragonair
Legendary Collection · 38/110 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 110 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$2.23 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Legendary Collection’s distinctive reverse-holo treatment makes this a different collecting target from the ordinary finish. The displayed image may be an artwork reference; check the actual foil pattern when buying.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Reverse holos use the community single-sheet estimate of 1/110. Common and uncommon estimates approximate the mixed nine-card sheet.
#9 · Dragonair
Obsidian Flames · 158/197 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 120 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.40 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Obsidian Flames printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1.5 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 176 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#5 (joint) · Dragonair
Team Up · 118/181 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.37 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Team Up reverse holo is a separate target from its ordinary finish. Where a set has more than one artwork of the same Pokémon, the collector number matters just as much as the name.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 145 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#5 (joint) · Dragonair
Sun & Moon Base Set · 95/149 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.74 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Sun & Moon Base Set printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 136 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#5 (joint) · Dragonair
Silver Tempest · 130/195 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.43 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Silver Tempest printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 144 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#5 (joint) · Dragonair
Legends Awakened · 52/146 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$41.00 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Legends Awakened printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 139 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#4 · Dragonair
Expedition · 75/165 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 160 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$99.99 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Expedition’s e-Reader-era design gives this printing a different look from modern cards. This entry ranks the reverse holo of the exact collector number shown, rather than every foil card with the same Pokémon name.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 159 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#3 · Dragonair
Pokémon 151 · 181/165 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 190 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$36.84 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#1 (joint) · Dragonair (150)
Unified Minds · 150/236 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 200 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$3.36 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Unified Minds printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 198 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#1 (joint) · Dragonair (149)
Unified Minds · 149/236 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 200 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$2.07 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Dragonair coils through a glowing, turbulent sky with its blue body stretched across the illustration. This reverse holo is 149/236, distinct from the other Dragonair artwork at 150/236 in Unified Minds.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 198 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
How we compare Dragonair pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Dragonair within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Dragonair pull-rate questions
Which Dragonair card is hardest to pull?
Dragonair (150) 150/236 (Unified Minds, Reverse Holofoil) and Dragonair (149) 149/236 (Unified Minds, Reverse Holofoil) share the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 200 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Dragonair ever released.
Will opening 200 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 200 independent packs gives an estimated 63.7% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Dragonair to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Dragonair guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Dragonair?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Dragonair promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.
Why can a reverse-holo Dragonair rank above a rarer-looking card?
This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.