10 Hardest Dragonite Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Dragonite’s Mega Evolution, GX and V artworks provide several styles of chase beyond its ordinary set cards. Special illustrations and other numbered versions belong to distinct rarity pools. Compare their estimated English odds here, with current prices shown separately from the ranking.
Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Dragonite ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Dragonite pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mega Dragonite ex 290/217Ascended Heroes · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,500 |
| 2 | Mega Dragonite ex 295/217Ascended Heroes · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,100 |
| 3 = | Dragonite V (Alternate Full Art) 192/203Evolving Skies · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,000 |
| 3 = | Dragonite GX (Secret) 248/236Unified Minds · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,000Very low confidence |
| 5 | Dragonite V (Full Art) 191/203Evolving Skies · Holofoil | ~1 in 970 |
| 6 | Mega Dragonite ex 271/217Ascended Heroes · Holofoil | ~1 in 700Very low confidence |
| 7 | Dragonite GX (Full Art) 229/236Unified Minds · Holofoil | ~1 in 540 |
| 8 | Dragonite VSTAR (Secret) 81/078Pokémon GO · Holofoil | ~1 in 220 |
| 9 | Dragonite V (Full Art) 76/078Pokémon GO · Holofoil | ~1 in 210Rough estimate |
| 10 | Dragonite 151/236Unified Minds · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 200Rough estimate |
The hardest-to-pull Dragonite countdown
#10 · Dragonite
Unified Minds · 151/236 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 200 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$13.12 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Unified Minds printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 198 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#9 · Dragonite V (Full Art)
Pokémon GO · 76/078 · English · Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 210 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$15.92 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
Uses the median group frequency (3.9% per pack) from Astral Radiance, Lost Origin, Silver Tempest, Crown Zenith, Evolving Skies, divided among 8 cards in this set's group. Those sets are comparisons, not evidence for this set.
#8 · Dragonite VSTAR (Secret)
Pokémon GO · 81/078 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 220 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$41.59 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening frequencies; individual card estimates divide the category by its eligible card pool. Alternate-art allocations and ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable unless separately supported. Source sample: 371 packs. Full-art/alternate-art categories and gallery cards are not combined. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#7 · Dragonite GX (Full Art)
Unified Minds · 229/236 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 540 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$63.76 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#6 · Mega Dragonite ex
Ascended Heroes · 271/217 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 700 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$22.59 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one MEGA_ATTACK_RARE group hit in about 100 packs, shared equally across 7 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
#5 · Dragonite V (Full Art)
Evolving Skies · 191/203 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 970 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$37.33 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening frequencies; individual card estimates divide the category by its eligible card pool. Alternate-art allocations and ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable unless separately supported. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#3 (joint) · Dragonite GX (Secret)
Unified Minds · 248/236 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,000 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$160.63 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one Rare Rainbow group hit in about 80 packs, shared equally across 13 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
#3 (joint) · Dragonite V (Alternate Full Art)
Evolving Skies · 192/203 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,000 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$478.56 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening frequencies; individual card estimates divide the category by its eligible card pool. Alternate-art allocations and ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable unless separately supported. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#2 · Mega Dragonite ex
Ascended Heroes · 295/217 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,100 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$152.61 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#1 · Mega Dragonite ex
Ascended Heroes · 290/217 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,500 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$420.86 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Mega Dragonite ex spreads its arms across a bright pastel scene full of clouds and small colourful details. Number 290/217 identifies this special illustration, separate from the other Mega Dragonite ex printings in Ascended Heroes.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
How we compare Dragonite pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Dragonite within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Dragonite pull-rate questions
Which Dragonite card is hardest to pull?
Mega Dragonite ex 290/217 (Ascended Heroes, Holofoil) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 1,500 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Dragonite ever released.
Will opening 1,500 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 1,500 independent packs gives an estimated 62.5% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Dragonite to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Dragonite guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Dragonite?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Dragonite promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.
Why can a reverse-holo Dragonite rank above a rarer-looking card?
This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.