Grab Your Sword 198/204 pull rates
The First Chapter · Rare · Cold Foil
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Estimated raw price
$2.22 USD
Cold Foil
Price updated 4 Nov 2026 (UTC)
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! Rough estimate · Limited evidence
Rough estimates from community openings and stated assumptions, not official or measured individual-card odds. Samples can be small or biased, and production runs may differ. Box and case odds assume independent packs; factory collation can change the actual chance.
Chance of pulling at least one
Pack
≈0.29%About 1 in 350 packs
Box
≈6.7%24 packs
Case
≈24%4 boxes · 96 packs
Chance of pulling at least one
Estimated chance: ≈6.7%
Box, case and custom quantities use an independent-pack approximation. Factory collation is not modelled; no card is guaranteed.
How many packs to pull Grab Your Sword?
The model averages about one success per 350 packs for this exact finish. Opening that many packs does not guarantee a copy. The calculator shows the estimated chance of at least one.
Are these official Lorcana odds?
No. They combine reported rarity frequencies with equal-card assumptions. Rare, Super Rare and Legendary nonfoil cards have two slots; foil and chase versions are calculated separately.
How this card’s estimate is calculated
Reported Rare foil frequency is divided equally among 48 rare card numbers. This estimates the selected foil printing only. Reviewed 2026-11-05. Individual cards are allocated equal odds within each rarity/finish pool. Normal Rare, Super Rare and Legendary counts are normalized across the two rare-or-better slots. The source lists 772 ordinary rare-or-better cards against 768 expected slots. We use its relative rarity mix, not an uncorrected pack probability.
The First Chapter: research & limitations
12 cards per standard booster, 24 packs per box and 4 boxes per case. Reviewed 2026-11-05 (UTC).
Individual cards are allocated equal odds within each rarity/finish pool. Normal Rare, Super Rare and Legendary counts are normalized across the two rare-or-better slots.
The source lists 772 ordinary rare-or-better cards against 768 expected slots. We use its relative rarity mix, not an uncorrected pack probability.
Sources: DigitalTQ opening sample (384 reported packs). These are reported samples, not independently audited factory odds. The full evidence ledger is retained for review.
Common/Uncommon cold-foil rates are a very low confidence residual-slot allocation, not measured frequencies. Conflicting denominators and unmapped special treatments use explicitly labelled educated assumptions. A conditional estimate does not confirm that the exact printing appears in boosters.