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The First Chapter pull rates

Choose an exact card and finish for estimated pack, box and case odds. English standard boosters only. Each rate includes its assumptions and research notes.

Rough estimates from community openings and stated assumptions, not official or measured individual-card odds. Samples can be small or biased, and production runs may differ. Box and case odds assume independent packs; factory collation can change the actual chance.

Ariel - On Human Legs1/204 · Uncommon · Cold FoilThe First Chapter · Rough estimateAriel - On Human Legs1/204 · Uncommon · NormalThe First Chapter · Rough estimateMaximus - Palace Horse10/204 · Super Rare · Cold FoilThe First Chapter · Rough estimateMaximus - Palace Horse10/204 · Super Rare · NormalThe First Chapter · Rough estimateVicious Betrayal100/204 · Common · Cold FoilThe First Chapter · Rough estimateVicious Betrayal100/204 · Common · NormalThe First Chapter · Rough estimateDr. Facilier's Cards101/204 · Uncommon · Cold FoilThe First Chapter · Rough estimateDr. Facilier's Cards101/204 · Uncommon · NormalThe First Chapter · Rough estimateStolen Scimitar102/204 · Common · Cold FoilThe First Chapter · Rough estimateStolen Scimitar102/204 · Common · NormalThe First Chapter · Rough estimateAbu - Mischievous Monkey103/204 · Common · Cold FoilThe First Chapter · Rough estimateAbu - Mischievous Monkey103/204 · Common · NormalThe First Chapter · Rough estimateAladdin - Heroic Outlaw104/204 · Super Rare · NormalThe First Chapter · Rough estimateAladdin - Heroic Outlaw104/204 · Super Rare · Cold FoilThe First Chapter · Rough estimateAladdin - Street Rat105/204 · Common · Cold FoilThe First Chapter · Rough estimateAladdin - Street Rat105/204 · Common · NormalThe First Chapter · Rough estimateCaptain - Colonel's Lieutenant106/204 · Uncommon · Cold FoilThe First Chapter · Rough estimateCaptain - Colonel's Lieutenant106/204 · Uncommon · NormalThe First Chapter · Rough estimateCaptain Hook - Ruthless Pirate107/204 · Rare · Cold FoilThe First Chapter · Rough estimateCaptain Hook - Ruthless Pirate107/204 · Rare · NormalThe First Chapter · Rough estimateDonald Duck - Boisterous Fowl108/204 · Uncommon · Cold FoilThe First Chapter · Rough estimateDonald Duck - Boisterous Fowl108/204 · Uncommon · NormalThe First Chapter · Rough estimateElsa - Ice Surfer109/204 · Common · Cold FoilThe First Chapter · Rough estimateElsa - Ice Surfer109/204 · Common · NormalThe First Chapter · Rough estimate
The First Chapter: research & limitations

12 cards per standard booster, 24 packs per box and 4 boxes per case. Reviewed 2026-11-05 (UTC).

Individual cards are allocated equal odds within each rarity/finish pool. Normal Rare, Super Rare and Legendary counts are normalized across the two rare-or-better slots.

The source lists 772 ordinary rare-or-better cards against 768 expected slots. We use its relative rarity mix, not an uncorrected pack probability.

Sources: DigitalTQ opening sample (384 reported packs). These are reported samples, not independently audited factory odds. The full evidence ledger is retained for review.

Common/Uncommon cold-foil rates are a very low confidence residual-slot allocation, not measured frequencies. Conflicting denominators and unmapped special treatments use explicitly labelled educated assumptions. A conditional estimate does not confirm that the exact printing appears in boosters.

The First Chapter card gallery & checklist →