10 Hardest Raichu Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Raichu’s solo cards and its pairing with Alolan Raichu offer very different artwork for a binder. Rainbow, full-art, alternate-art and Shiny printings are separate targets. Compare their estimated English pack odds below, with each card linked to its own calculator.
Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Raichu ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Raichu pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raichu & Alolan Raichu GX (Secret) 241/236Unified Minds · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,000Very low confidence |
| 2 = | Raichu V (Full Art) 158/172Brilliant Stars · Holofoil | ~1 in 540Rough estimate |
| 2 = | Raichu & Alolan Raichu GX (Full Art) 220/236Unified Minds · Holofoil | ~1 in 540 |
| 2 = | Raichu & Alolan Raichu GX (Alternate Full Art) 221/236Unified Minds · Holofoil | ~1 in 540 |
| 5 = | Raichu 211/193Paldea Evolved · Holofoil | ~1 in 470 |
| 5 = | Raichu 132/091Paldean Fates · Holofoil | ~1 in 470 |
| 7 | Raichu GX (Secret) 75/73Shining Legends · Holofoil | ~1 in 320Very low confidence |
| 8 | Alolan Raichu 57/236Unified Minds · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 200Rough estimate |
| 9 | Raichu 67/236Cosmic Eclipse · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 190Rough estimate |
| 10 | Raichu 55/214Unbroken Bonds · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 180Rough estimate |
The hardest-to-pull Raichu countdown
#10 · Raichu
Unbroken Bonds · 55/214 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 180 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.08 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This reverse holo offers a smaller collecting target alongside Unbroken Bonds’ GX chases. Its estimated chance concerns this particular number and finish, not the probability of finding any reverse holo.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 179 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#9 · Raichu
Cosmic Eclipse · 67/236 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 190 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$2.67 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Cosmic Eclipse printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 193 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#8 · Alolan Raichu
Unified Minds · 57/236 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 200 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$7.36 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Unified Minds printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 198 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#7 · Raichu GX (Secret)
Shining Legends · 75/73 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 320 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$44.32 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This rainbow Raichu-GX gives the Pokémon a solo secret card alongside its later TAG TEAM chases. The 75/73 number matters: other Raichu-GX versions have different identities. Its estimated odds are an illustrative assumption.
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one Rare Rainbow group hit in about 80 packs, shared equally across 4 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
#5 (joint) · Raichu
Paldean Fates · 132/091 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 470 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$19.58 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Shiny Raichu’s orange colouring and starry white background offer a compact alternative to its larger TAG TEAM artworks. Number 132/091 identifies the Shiny printing in Paldean Fates.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#5 (joint) · Raichu
Paldea Evolved · 211/193 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 470 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$90.91 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Raichu sprawls in a peaceful indoor scene, surrounded by soft light and small everyday details. This illustration rare is 211/193, a distinct chase from the set’s ordinary Raichu.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#2 (joint) · Raichu & Alolan Raichu GX (Alternate Full Art)
Unified Minds · 221/236 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 540 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$385.67 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Alolan Raichu floats above its resting partner in this relaxed alternate artwork. The scene gives the TAG TEAM a different mood from 220/236. Check 221/236 when matching a listing to this version.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#2 (joint) · Raichu & Alolan Raichu GX (Full Art)
Unified Minds · 220/236 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 540 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$56.43 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
The two Raichu stand together against an orange full-art background, showing their different colours and shapes side by side. The alternate scene at 221/236 is another card, even when the model assigns them the same estimated odds.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#2 (joint) · Raichu V (Full Art)
Brilliant Stars · 158/172 · English · Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 540 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$5.70 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Raichu V fills a bright yellow-green full-art background with its ears, tail and outstretched paws. This is 158/172, separate from the regular V card, with a rough comparison estimate attached to the exact printing.
Where this estimate comes from
Uses the median group frequency (3.9% per pack) from Astral Radiance, Lost Origin, Silver Tempest, Crown Zenith, Evolving Skies, divided among 21 cards in this set's group. Those sets are comparisons, not evidence for this set.
#1 · Raichu & Alolan Raichu GX (Secret)
Unified Minds · 241/236 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,000 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$151.43 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Raichu and Alolan Raichu appear together in rainbow colours on this secret TAG TEAM. Its 241/236 number separates it from both full-art versions. The rough odds use an assumed rarity frequency, so its place in the countdown remains uncertain.
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one Rare Rainbow group hit in about 80 packs, shared equally across 13 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
How we compare Raichu pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Raichu within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Raichu pull-rate questions
Which Raichu card is hardest to pull?
Raichu & Alolan Raichu GX (Secret) 241/236 (Unified Minds, Holofoil) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 1,000 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Raichu ever released.
Will opening 1,000 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 1,000 independent packs gives an estimated 61.8% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Raichu to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Raichu guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Raichu?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Raichu promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.
Why can a reverse-holo Raichu rank above a rarer-looking card?
This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.