10 Hardest Machamp Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Machamp can be a solo powerhouse or share a TAG TEAM card with Marshadow. Rainbow, full-art and alternate-art versions offer different binder highlights. This guide compares existing English estimates, keeping illustrative rarity assumptions visible instead of presenting them as measured odds.
Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Machamp ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Machamp pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machamp VMAX (Secret) 194/189Astral Radiance · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,400 |
| 2 | Marshadow & Machamp GX (Secret) 221/214Unbroken Bonds · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,100Very low confidence |
| 3 | Machamp GX (Secret) 154/147Burning Shadows · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,000Very low confidence |
| 4 | Machamp V (Full Art) 171/189Astral Radiance · Holofoil | ~1 in 800 |
| 5 = | Marshadow & Machamp GX (198) (Full Art) 198/214Unbroken Bonds · Holofoil | ~1 in 620 |
| 5 = | Marshadow & Machamp GX (199) (Full Art) 199/214Unbroken Bonds · Holofoil | ~1 in 620 |
| 7 | Machamp V (Alternate Full Art) 172/189Astral Radiance · Holofoil | ~1 in 540 |
| 8 | Machamp GX (Full Art) 135/147Burning Shadows · Holofoil | ~1 in 430 |
| 9 | Machamp VMAX 73/189Astral Radiance · Holofoil | ~1 in 260 |
| 10 | Machamp EX (90 Full Art) 90/98Ancient Origins · Holofoil | ~1 in 220 |
The hardest-to-pull Machamp countdown
#10 · Machamp EX (90 Full Art)
Ancient Origins · 90/98 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 220 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$30.08 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Full-art/secret sheet uses the community 88/12 allocation. BREAK, where present, occupies the reverse slot. Individual cards are approximated uniformly within each tier. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#9 · Machamp VMAX
Astral Radiance · 73/189 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 260 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$7.52 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
TCGplayer physical-pack opening frequencies. Regular V, full-art, alternate-art and gallery tiers remain separate. Uniform per-card estimates do not reproduce factory collation. Ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#8 · Machamp GX (Full Art)
Burning Shadows · 135/147 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 430 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$8.54 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#7 · Machamp V (Alternate Full Art)
Astral Radiance · 172/189 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 540 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$187.86 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Machamp carries an enormous stack of dishes through a busy market in this alternate artwork. The everyday scene gives its four arms a different role from battle. Match 172/189 when comparing this version with the set’s other Machamp V cards.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
TCGplayer physical-pack opening frequencies. Regular V, full-art, alternate-art and gallery tiers remain separate. Uniform per-card estimates do not reproduce factory collation. Ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#5 (joint) · Marshadow & Machamp GX (199) (Full Art)
Unbroken Bonds · 199/214 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 620 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$239.51 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#5 (joint) · Marshadow & Machamp GX (198) (Full Art)
Unbroken Bonds · 198/214 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 620 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$43.60 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#4 · Machamp V (Full Art)
Astral Radiance · 171/189 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 800 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$10.60 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
TCGplayer physical-pack opening frequencies. Regular V, full-art, alternate-art and gallery tiers remain separate. Uniform per-card estimates do not reproduce factory collation. Ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#3 · Machamp GX (Secret)
Burning Shadows · 154/147 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,000 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$39.31 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one Rare Rainbow group hit in about 80 packs, shared equally across 13 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
#2 · Marshadow & Machamp GX (Secret)
Unbroken Bonds · 221/214 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,100 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$72.93 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one Rare Rainbow group hit in about 80 packs, shared equally across 14 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
#1 · Machamp VMAX (Secret)
Astral Radiance · 194/189 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,400 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$17.58 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Machamp’s towering Gigantamax form fills this rainbow VMAX. Number 194/189 distinguishes it from the regular VMAX and the set’s Machamp V artworks. The estimate belongs to this exact secret printing.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
TCGplayer physical-pack opening frequencies. Regular V, full-art, alternate-art and gallery tiers remain separate. Uniform per-card estimates do not reproduce factory collation. Ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
How we compare Machamp pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Machamp within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Machamp pull-rate questions
Which Machamp card is hardest to pull?
Machamp VMAX (Secret) 194/189 (Astral Radiance, Holofoil) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 1,400 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Machamp ever released.
Will opening 1,400 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 1,400 independent packs gives an estimated 63.1% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Machamp to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Machamp guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Machamp?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Machamp promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.