10 Hardest Lapras Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Lapras’s long neck and gentle silhouette have appeared on GX, VMAX, Shiny and smaller foil cards. Rainbow versions are separate targets from their regular artworks. Compare the estimated English odds below, keeping the rough assumptions behind some secret-card figures in view.
Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Lapras ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Lapras pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lapras GX (Secret) 151/149Sun & Moon Base Set · Holofoil | ~1 in 640Very low confidence |
| 2 | Lapras VMAX (Secret) 203/202Sword & Shield Base Set · Holofoil | ~1 in 630Rough estimate |
| 3 | Lapras V (Full Art) 189/202Sword & Shield Base Set · Holofoil | ~1 in 410Rough estimate |
| 4 | Lapras GX (Full Art) 139/149Sun & Moon Base Set · Holofoil | ~1 in 290 |
| 5 | Misty's Lapras 194/182Destined Rivals · Holofoil | ~1 in 280 |
| 6 | Lapras 54/264Fusion Strike · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 220Rough estimate |
| 7 | Lapras 36/236Unified Minds · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 200Rough estimate |
| 8 = | Lapras 56/214Lost Thunder · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 180Rough estimate |
| 8 = | Lapras V SV110/SV122Shining Fates: Shiny Vault · Holofoil | ~1 in 180 |
| 8 = | Lapras VMAX SV111/SV122Shining Fates: Shiny Vault · Holofoil | ~1 in 180 |
The hardest-to-pull Lapras countdown
#8 (joint) · Lapras VMAX
Shining Fates: Shiny Vault · SV111/SV122 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 180 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$8.81 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Shiny Vault cards use Shining Fates packs. Community 2,187-pack sample combines shiny V and VMAX in one tier. Individual gold-card odds remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#8 (joint) · Lapras V
Shining Fates: Shiny Vault · SV110/SV122 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 180 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$4.33 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Shiny Vault cards use Shining Fates packs. Community 2,187-pack sample combines shiny V and VMAX in one tier. Individual gold-card odds remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#8 (joint) · Lapras
Lost Thunder · 56/214 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 180 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$7.99 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Lost Thunder printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 178 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#7 · Lapras
Unified Minds · 36/236 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 200 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$12.77 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Unified Minds printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 198 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#6 · Lapras
Fusion Strike · 54/264 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 220 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.47 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
One exact reverse holo can be elusive within a large set even when its ordinary version is common. The estimate assumes equal chances across the reverse-holo pool; it is not evidence that this Pokémon is specially short-printed.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 217 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#5 · Misty's Lapras
Destined Rivals · 194/182 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 280 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$18.60 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#4 · Lapras GX (Full Art)
Sun & Moon Base Set · 139/149 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 290 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$10.94 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#3 · Lapras V (Full Art)
Sword & Shield Base Set · 189/202 · English · Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 410 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$7.36 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
Uses the median group frequency (3.9% per pack) from Champion's Path, Darkness Ablaze, Rebel Clash, Vivid Voltage, Evolving Skies, divided among 16 cards in this set's group. Those sets are comparisons, not evidence for this set.
#2 · Lapras VMAX (Secret)
Sword & Shield Base Set · 203/202 · English · Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 630 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$22.00 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
Uses the median group frequency (1.3% per pack) from Champion's Path, Darkness Ablaze, Rebel Clash, Vivid Voltage, Evolving Skies, divided among 8 cards in this set's group. Those sets are comparisons, not evidence for this set.
#1 · Lapras GX (Secret)
Sun & Moon Base Set · 151/149 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 640 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$30.38 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Lapras’ long neck and shell appear in rainbow colours on this secret GX. The 151/149 number distinguishes it from the regular and full-art versions. Its rough odds rely on an illustrative rarity assumption, not measured individual copies.
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one Rare Rainbow group hit in about 80 packs, shared equally across 8 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
How we compare Lapras pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Lapras within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Lapras pull-rate questions
Which Lapras card is hardest to pull?
Lapras GX (Secret) 151/149 (Sun & Moon Base Set, Holofoil) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 640 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Lapras ever released.
Will opening 640 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 640 independent packs gives an estimated 63.2% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Lapras to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Lapras guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Lapras?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Lapras promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.
Why can a reverse-holo Lapras rank above a rarer-looking card?
This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.