11 Hardest Gyarados Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Gyarados’s VMAX, full-art and older special printings give collectors several styles of chase. A dramatic artwork or high price does not necessarily mean the lowest pull rate. This countdown compares existing English estimates for exact card numbers and finishes.
Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Gyarados ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Gyarados pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyarados VMAX (Secret) 207/203Evolving Skies · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,900 |
| 2 | Gyarados V (Full Art) 171/203Evolving Skies · Holofoil | ~1 in 970 |
| 3 | Gyarados GX (Secret) 112/111Crimson Invasion · Holofoil | ~1 in 640Very low confidence |
| 4 | Gyarados ex 225/198Scarlet & Violet Base Set · Holofoil | ~1 in 300 |
| 5 | Gyarados VMAX 29/203Evolving Skies · Holofoil | ~1 in 270 |
| 6 | Gyarados GX (Full Art) 101/111Crimson Invasion · Holofoil | ~1 in 240 |
| 7 = | Gyarados EX (Full Art) 114/122BREAKpoint · Holofoil | ~1 in 170 |
| 7 = | M Gyarados EX (Full Art) 115/122BREAKpoint · Holofoil | ~1 in 170 |
| 7 = | Gyarados V 28/203Evolving Skies · Holofoil | ~1 in 170 |
| 10 = | Gyarados 40/192Rebel Clash · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
| 10 = | Gyarados (11) 11/144Skyridge · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
The hardest-to-pull Gyarados countdown
#10 (joint) · Gyarados (11)
Skyridge · 11/144 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$999.75 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
The e-Reader-style border is part of this Skyridge card’s visual identity. This estimate is for the reverse holo specifically; another finish can share the same artwork and collector number.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 150 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#10 (joint) · Gyarados
Rebel Clash · 40/192 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$3.10 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Rebel Clash printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 151 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#7 (joint) · Gyarados V
Evolving Skies · 28/203 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 170 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$2.67 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening frequencies; individual card estimates divide the category by its eligible card pool. Alternate-art allocations and ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable unless separately supported. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#7 (joint) · M Gyarados EX (Full Art)
BREAKpoint · 115/122 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 170 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$129.77 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Full-art/secret sheet uses the community 88/12 allocation. BREAK, where present, occupies the reverse slot. Individual cards are approximated uniformly within each tier. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#7 (joint) · Gyarados EX (Full Art)
BREAKpoint · 114/122 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 170 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$79.30 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Full-art/secret sheet uses the community 88/12 allocation. BREAK, where present, occupies the reverse slot. Individual cards are approximated uniformly within each tier. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#6 · Gyarados GX (Full Art)
Crimson Invasion · 101/111 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 240 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$27.78 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#5 · Gyarados VMAX
Evolving Skies · 29/203 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 270 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$8.66 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening frequencies; individual card estimates divide the category by its eligible card pool. Alternate-art allocations and ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable unless separately supported. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#4 · Gyarados ex
Scarlet & Violet Base Set · 225/198 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 300 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$9.84 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#3 · Gyarados GX (Secret)
Crimson Invasion · 112/111 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 640 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$84.42 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one Rare Rainbow group hit in about 80 packs, shared equally across 8 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
#2 · Gyarados V (Full Art)
Evolving Skies · 171/203 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 970 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$18.78 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening frequencies; individual card estimates divide the category by its eligible card pool. Alternate-art allocations and ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable unless separately supported. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#1 · Gyarados VMAX (Secret)
Evolving Skies · 207/203 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,900 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$44.01 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Gyarados’ huge open mouth and curled body fill this rainbow VMAX. Number 207/203 identifies the secret Evolving Skies printing, separate from the regular VMAX and full-art V cards.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening frequencies; individual card estimates divide the category by its eligible card pool. Alternate-art allocations and ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable unless separately supported. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
How we compare Gyarados pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Gyarados within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Gyarados pull-rate questions
Which Gyarados card is hardest to pull?
Gyarados VMAX (Secret) 207/203 (Evolving Skies, Holofoil) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 1,900 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Gyarados ever released.
Will opening 1,900 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 1,900 independent packs gives an estimated 63.1% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Gyarados to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Gyarados guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Gyarados?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Gyarados promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.
Why can a reverse-holo Gyarados rank above a rarer-looking card?
This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.