10 Hardest Hitmonchan Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Hitmonchan’s boxing poses appear in ordinary set cards and older special-numbered printings. A distinctive collector number can matter as much as the finish. This countdown compares the estimated English odds for those exact versions, with rough comparison figures identified.
Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Hitmonchan ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Hitmonchan pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hitmonchan 129/127Platinum · Holofoil | ~1 in 300Very low confidence |
| 2 | Hitmonchan 95/202Sword & Shield Base Set · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 160Rough estimate |
| 3 = | Hitmonchan 81/147Aquapolis · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
| 3 = | Rocket's Hitmonchan ex 98/109EX Team Rocket Returns · Holofoil | ~1 in 150 |
| 5 = | Hitmonchan 99/146Legends Awakened · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 5 = | Hitmonchan 74/181Team Up · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 7 | Hitmonchan 81/203Evolving Skies · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 130Rough estimate |
| 8 = | Hitmonchan 24/115EX Unseen Forces · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 100Rough estimate |
| 8 = | Hitmonchan 107/165Pokémon 151 · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 100Rough estimate |
| 10 | Hitmonchan 48/111Furious Fists · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 97Rough estimate |
The hardest-to-pull Hitmonchan countdown
#10 · Hitmonchan
Furious Fists · 48/111 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 97 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.53 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Furious Fists printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 97 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#8 (joint) · Hitmonchan
Pokémon 151 · 107/165 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 100 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.96 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
The reverse holo is a separate finish of this numbered 151 card, rather than an illustration rare. A shared artwork image does not show every foil difference, so match the finish as well as the collector number.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1.5 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 153 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#8 (joint) · Hitmonchan
EX Unseen Forces · 24/115 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 100 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$44.32 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This EX Unseen Forces printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 100 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#7 · Hitmonchan
Evolving Skies · 81/203 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 130 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.29 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Evolving Skies printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 132 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#5 (joint) · Hitmonchan
Team Up · 74/181 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$4.83 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Team Up reverse holo is a separate target from its ordinary finish. Where a set has more than one artwork of the same Pokémon, the collector number matters just as much as the name.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 145 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#5 (joint) · Hitmonchan
Legends Awakened · 99/146 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$5.50 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Legends Awakened printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 139 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#3 (joint) · Rocket's Hitmonchan ex
EX Team Rocket Returns · 98/109 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$205.30 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Gold Star tier uses the community 1-in-108-pack model. Here Comes Team Rocket! has uncertain individual odds and remains unavailable. Charmeleon is a box topper. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#3 (joint) · Hitmonchan
Aquapolis · 81/147 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$32.44 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Aquapolis printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 151 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#2 · Hitmonchan
Sword & Shield Base Set · 95/202 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 160 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.72 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Sword & Shield Base Set printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 165 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#1 · Hitmonchan
Platinum · 129/127 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 300 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$34.88 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Hitmonchan stands with red gloves raised against a green background in this older special-numbered card. The 129/127 number identifies the Platinum printing. Its rough comparison estimate is not a recorded individual pull frequency.
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one Rare Secret group hit in about 100 packs, shared equally across 3 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
How we compare Hitmonchan pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Hitmonchan within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Hitmonchan pull-rate questions
Which Hitmonchan card is hardest to pull?
Hitmonchan 129/127 (Platinum, Holofoil) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 300 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Hitmonchan ever released.
Will opening 300 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 300 independent packs gives an estimated 63.3% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Hitmonchan to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Hitmonchan guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Hitmonchan?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Hitmonchan promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.
Why can a reverse-holo Hitmonchan rank above a rarer-looking card?
This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.