Ponyta 46/99 pull rates
Arceus · Uncommon
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Estimated raw price
$1.34 USD
Unlimited · Non-holo
Price updated 2 Nov 2026 (UTC)
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Community estimates; pulls aren’t guaranteed.
Chance of pulling at least one
Booster pack
10.3%About 1 in 9.7 packs
Booster box
98.0%36 packs
Booster case
>99.9%216 packs
How many packs are you opening?
Estimated chance in 10 packs: 66.4%
Ponyta pull-rate questions
What are the odds of pulling Ponyta 46/99 from Arceus?
About 10.3% per pack, or 1 in 9.7 packs, for this Arceus non-holo card. The same estimate applies across the supported editions.
How many packs does it take to pull Ponyta 46/99?
The model averages about 10 packs to the first copy. About 7 packs gives a 50% chance; 22 gives a 90% chance. You could pull it sooner or open more packs without finding it.
Is Ponyta 46/99 guaranteed in a booster box or case?
No card is guaranteed. The box and case figures model the chance of at least one copy.
Are these official pull rates?
These estimates use community sources and probability calculations.
These are modelled chances, not measured box or case odds. They assume random, unweighed packs and independent pack outcomes; factory collation can change the results. “1 in” is an average, not a guarantee.
AR subset uses about nine per 36 packs; SH shiny cards use one sheet position each in the remaining reverse slots. LV.X tier is about three per 36 packs. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
About these estimates
Market estimate for an ungraded card; condition and seller prices vary.
Standard numbered cards only. Error variants, stamp variations and bonus promo inserts do not have separate estimates.
Based on community sources. Card odds assume an equal chance within each rarity, and box and case estimates assume independent packs. Actual pulls can vary.
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