Li Shang - Valorous General 112/204 pull rates
Ursula's Return · Uncommon · Normal
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Estimated raw price
$0.07 USD
Normal
Price updated 4 Nov 2026 (UTC)
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! Rough estimate · Limited evidence
Rough estimates from community openings and stated assumptions, not official or measured individual-card odds. Samples can be small or biased, and production runs may differ. Box and case odds assume independent packs; factory collation can change the actual chance.
Chance of pulling at least one
Pack
≈5.6%About 1 in 18 packs
Box
≈75%24 packs
Case
≈100%4 boxes · 96 packs
Chance of pulling at least one
Estimated chance: ≈75%
Box, case and custom quantities use an independent-pack approximation. Factory collation is not modelled; no card is guaranteed.
How many packs to pull Li Shang - Valorous General?
The model averages about one success per 18 packs for this exact finish. Opening that many packs does not guarantee a copy. The calculator shows the estimated chance of at least one.
Are these official Lorcana odds?
No. They combine reported rarity frequencies with equal-card assumptions. Rare, Super Rare and Legendary nonfoil cards have two slots; foil and chase versions are calculated separately.
How this card’s estimate is calculated
Assumes 3 distinct uncommon cards per pack and equal selection across 54 card numbers. Reviewed 2026-11-05. Individual cards are allocated equal odds within each rarity/finish pool. Normal Rare, Super Rare and Legendary counts are normalized across the two rare-or-better slots. The source lists 669 ordinary rare-or-better cards against 668 expected slots. We use its relative rarity mix, not an uncorrected pack probability.
Ursula's Return: research & limitations
12 cards per standard booster, 24 packs per box and 4 boxes per case. Reviewed 2026-11-05 (UTC).
Individual cards are allocated equal odds within each rarity/finish pool. Normal Rare, Super Rare and Legendary counts are normalized across the two rare-or-better slots.
The source lists 669 ordinary rare-or-better cards against 668 expected slots. We use its relative rarity mix, not an uncorrected pack probability.
Sources: DigitalTQ opening sample (334 reported packs). These are reported samples, not independently audited factory odds. The full evidence ledger is retained for review.
Common/Uncommon cold-foil rates are a very low confidence residual-slot allocation, not measured frequencies. Conflicting denominators and unmapped special treatments use explicitly labelled educated assumptions. A conditional estimate does not confirm that the exact printing appears in boosters.