Elsa - Gloves Off 39/204 pull rates
Rise of the Floodborn · Common · Normal
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Estimated raw price
$0.10 USD
Normal
Price updated 4 Nov 2026 (UTC)
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! Educated estimate · Very low confidence
Rough estimates from community openings and stated assumptions, not official or measured individual-card odds. Samples can be small or biased, and production runs may differ. Box and case odds assume independent packs; factory collation can change the actual chance.
Conditional estimate: assumes this exact version appears in boosters. Booster availability and exact odds are unverified.
Chance of pulling at least one
Pack
≈4.2%About 1 in 24 packs
Box
≈64%24 packs
Case
≈98%4 boxes · 96 packs
Chance of pulling at least one
Estimated chance: ≈64%
Box, case and custom quantities use an independent-pack approximation. Factory collation is not modelled; no card is guaranteed.
How many packs to pull Elsa - Gloves Off?
The model averages about one success per 24 packs for this exact finish. Opening that many packs does not guarantee a copy. The calculator shows the estimated chance of at least one.
Are these official Lorcana odds?
No. They combine reported rarity frequencies with equal-card assumptions. Rare, Super Rare and Legendary nonfoil cards have two slots; foil and chase versions are calculated separately.
How this card’s estimate is calculated
Very low confidence. Educated guess: assumes this printing is available in boosters and takes 1/2 of the card-number probability for this finish. The original/errata production mix and booster availability of the exact version are unverified. Assumes 6 distinct common cards per pack and equal selection across 72 card numbers. Reviewed 2026-11-05. Individual cards are allocated equal odds within each rarity/finish pool. Normal Rare, Super Rare and Legendary counts are normalized across the two rare-or-better slots.
Rise of the Floodborn: research & limitations
12 cards per standard booster, 24 packs per box and 4 boxes per case. Reviewed 2026-11-05 (UTC).
Individual cards are allocated equal odds within each rarity/finish pool. Normal Rare, Super Rare and Legendary counts are normalized across the two rare-or-better slots.
Sources: DigitalTQ opening sample (240 reported packs). These are reported samples, not independently audited factory odds. The full evidence ledger is retained for review.
Common/Uncommon cold-foil rates are a very low confidence residual-slot allocation, not measured frequencies. Conflicting denominators and unmapped special treatments use explicitly labelled educated assumptions. A conditional estimate does not confirm that the exact printing appears in boosters.