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Fabled pull rates

Choose an exact card and finish for estimated pack, box and case odds. English standard boosters only. Each rate includes its assumptions and research notes.

Rough estimates from community openings and stated assumptions, not official or measured individual-card odds. Samples can be small or biased, and production runs may differ. Box and case odds assume independent packs; factory collation can change the actual chance.

Bruno Madrigal - Undetected Uncle0/204 · Super Rare · Cold FoilFabled · Conditional educated estimateBruno Madrigal - Undetected Uncle0/204 · Super Rare · NormalFabled · Conditional educated estimateThe Queen - Conceited Ruler1/204 · Rare · NormalFabled · Rough estimateThe Queen - Conceited Ruler1/204 · Rare · Cold FoilFabled · Rough estimateMulan - Free Spirit10/204 · Common · Cold FoilFabled · Rough estimateMulan - Free Spirit10/204 · Common · NormalFabled · Rough estimateFamily Fishing Pole100/204 · Rare · NormalFabled · Rough estimateFamily Fishing Pole100/204 · Rare · Cold FoilFabled · Rough estimateSigned Contract101/204 · Uncommon · Cold FoilFabled · Rough estimateSigned Contract101/204 · Uncommon · NormalFabled · Rough estimateHidden Cove - Tranquil Haven102/204 · Common · Cold FoilFabled · Rough estimateHidden Cove - Tranquil Haven102/204 · Common · NormalFabled · Rough estimateLeFou - Instigator103/204 · Uncommon · NormalFabled · Rough estimateLeFou - Instigator103/204 · Uncommon · Cold FoilFabled · Rough estimateShere Khan - Menacing Predator104/204 · Rare · Cold FoilFabled · Rough estimateShere Khan - Menacing Predator104/204 · Rare · NormalFabled · Rough estimateSimba - Scrappy Cub105/204 · Rare · NormalFabled · Rough estimateSimba - Scrappy Cub105/204 · Rare · Cold FoilFabled · Rough estimateMaui - Whale106/204 · Rare · NormalFabled · Rough estimateMaui - Whale106/204 · Rare · Cold FoilFabled · Rough estimateAriel - Adventurous Collector107/204 · Super Rare · NormalFabled · Rough estimateAriel - Adventurous Collector107/204 · Super Rare · Cold FoilFabled · Rough estimateMaleficent - Monstrous Dragon108/204 · Legendary · NormalFabled · Rough estimateMaleficent - Monstrous Dragon108/204 · Legendary · Cold FoilFabled · Rough estimate
Fabled: research & limitations

12 cards per standard booster, 24 packs per box and 4 boxes per case. Reviewed 2026-11-05 (UTC).

Individual cards are allocated equal odds within each rarity/finish pool. Normal Rare, Super Rare and Legendary counts are normalized across the two rare-or-better slots.

The source lists 2103 ordinary rare-or-better cards against 2112 expected slots. We use its relative rarity mix, not an uncorrected pack probability.

Foil Legendary and available chase tiers use 18,912 packs from the tracker’s non-bulk sealed-case cohort; ordinary Rare/Super Rare foils use Deck Box. Cohorts are not pooled, and may overlap.

Sources: Deck Box opening workbook (1,056 reported packs); Narzghal tracker — non-bulk sealed cases (18,912 reported packs). These are reported samples, not independently audited factory odds. The full evidence ledger is retained for review.

Common/Uncommon cold-foil rates are a very low confidence residual-slot allocation, not measured frequencies. Conflicting denominators and unmapped special treatments use explicitly labelled educated assumptions. A conditional estimate does not confirm that the exact printing appears in boosters.

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