Ignition of X pull rates
Choose an exact card and finish for estimated pack, box and case odds. Reviewed English boosters and Limited Card Packs. Each rate includes its assumptions and research notes.
These are rough estimates; tap for assumptions and limitations.
Educated estimates informed by community openings and explicit assumptions, not official or measured individual-card odds. Exact artwork and finish frequencies can differ greatly. Box and case chances use independent packs; real factory collation and fixed box contents can change the result.
Upcoming release · Provisional estimates. Final card pools and opening results are not yet available.
Ignition of X: research & limitations
12 cards per booster, 24 packs per box and 12 boxes in the reference case. Reviewed 2026-11-05 (UTC).
All positive odds are rough model estimates, never Bandai-published exact-card odds. Prices do not affect pools. Equal weighting within each tier and across unresolved finishes is assumed.
Case calculations use a 12-box reference case. Confirm the actual retail case configuration, especially for Limited Card Packs. Box/case/custom odds use independent packs; actual collation can differ substantially.
The new Ultimate Rare slot is modelled at two per box using EX12 opening evidence as an explicitly unverified cross-set assumption.
Upcoming December 2026 release: use announced base rarity counts rather than the incomplete current catalogue; the alternate-art pool of at least 20 is an assumption. All opening rates are provisional cross-set estimates.
SP/textured inserts use an illustrative one-per-30-box tier prior. Rare-pull SECs use one per 12 boxes. AD01 gold borders, EX11 emblems and EX13 Royal Knights have separate allocations. This prior is deliberately labelled very low confidence; it is not a researched exact hit count for this set.
Sources: Bandai official English product contents; Early English booster box opening reports; EX12 half-case opening report. These sources describe product contents or community experience; none measures every exact card’s probability. The full evidence ledger is retained for review.
The model uses assumed tier frequencies and fixed reviewed card pools. It does not infer rarity from price, and an absent price does not remove a card from its pool. A conditional estimate does not confirm that the exact printing appears in boosters.