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Beginning Observer pull rates

Choose an exact card and finish for estimated pack, box and case odds. Reviewed English boosters and Limited Card Packs. Each rate includes its assumptions and research notes.

These are rough estimates; tap for assumptions and limitations.

Educated estimates informed by community openings and explicit assumptions, not official or measured individual-card odds. Exact artwork and finish frequencies can differ greatly. Box and case chances use independent packs; real factory collation and fixed box contents can change the result.

PoromonBT16-001 · Uncommon · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateDemiVeemonBT16-002 · Uncommon · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateMinomonBT16-004 · Uncommon · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateHawkmonBT16-007 · Common · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateAquilamonBT16-008 · Common · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateSilphymonBT16-012 · Super Rare · FoilBeginning Observer · Educated estimateVeemonBT16-017 · Uncommon · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateExVeemonBT16-018 · Common · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateImperialdramon: Dragon ModeBT16-028 · Rare · FoilBeginning Observer · Educated estimateSalamonBT16-030 · Rare · FoilBeginning Observer · Educated estimateGatomonBT16-031 · Uncommon · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateWormmonBT16-040 · Rare · FoilBeginning Observer · Educated estimateStingmonBT16-041 · Uncommon · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateGranKuwagamon ACEBT16-046 · Rare · FoilBeginning Observer · Educated estimateDinobeemonBT16-077 · Super Rare · FoilBeginning Observer · Educated estimateDavis Motomiya & Ken IchijojiBT16-085 · Rare · FoilBeginning Observer · Educated estimateInvincible Dragon-Insect FusionBT16-092 · Uncommon · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateBeastly Storm Dance of AffectionBT16-091 · Uncommon · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateYolei Inoue & Kari KamiyaBT16-084 · Rare · FoilBeginning Observer · Educated estimateValkyrimon ACEBT16-013 · Super Rare · FoilBeginning Observer · Educated estimateUpamonBT16-003 · Uncommon · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateAnkylomonBT16-053 · Common · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateAngemonBT16-019 · Common · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimateArmadillomonBT16-049 · Common · NormalBeginning Observer · Educated estimate
Beginning Observer: research & limitations

12 cards per booster, 24 packs per box and 12 boxes in the reference case. Reviewed 2026-11-05 (UTC).

All positive odds are rough model estimates, never Bandai-published exact-card odds. Prices do not affect pools. Equal weighting within each tier and across unresolved finishes is assumed.

Case calculations use a 12-box reference case. Confirm the actual retail case configuration, especially for Limited Card Packs. Box/case/custom odds use independent packs; actual collation can differ substantially.

SP/textured inserts use an illustrative one-per-30-box tier prior. Rare-pull SECs use one per 12 boxes. AD01 gold borders, EX11 emblems and EX13 Royal Knights have separate allocations. This prior is deliberately labelled very low confidence; it is not a researched exact hit count for this set.

Sources: Bandai official English product contents; Early English booster box opening reports. These sources describe product contents or community experience; none measures every exact card’s probability. The full evidence ledger is retained for review.

The model uses assumed tier frequencies and fixed reviewed card pools. It does not infer rarity from price, and an absent price does not remove a card from its pool. A conditional estimate does not confirm that the exact printing appears in boosters.

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