12 Hardest Scyther Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Scyther’s bladed arms and green silhouette suit both action scenes and quieter natural settings. Shiny and older special-numbered cards add different collecting goals to its reverse holos. Compare their estimated English odds here, independently of current prices.
Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Scyther ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Scyther pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scyther 95/091Paldean Fates · Holofoil | ~1 in 470 |
| 2 | Scyther 130/127Platinum · Holofoil | ~1 in 300Very low confidence |
| 3 | Scyther SV1/SV94Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault · Holofoil | ~1 in 230 |
| 4 | Scyther 3/214Lost Thunder · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 180Rough estimate |
| 5 = | Scyther (106) 106/147Aquapolis · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
| 5 = | Scyther (57) 57/147Aquapolis · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
| 5 = | Rocket's Scyther ex 102/109EX Team Rocket Returns · Holofoil | ~1 in 150 |
| 5 = | Scyther 4/192Rebel Clash · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
| 9 | Scyther 4/168Celestial Storm · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 10 = | Scyther (004) 4/189Astral Radiance · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 130Rough estimate |
| 10 = | Scyther (005) 5/189Astral Radiance · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 130Rough estimate |
| 10 = | Scyther 7/149Boundaries Crossed · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 130Rough estimate |
The hardest-to-pull Scyther countdown
#10 (joint) · Scyther
Boundaries Crossed · 7/149 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 130 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$24.35 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Boundaries Crossed printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 130 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#10 (joint) · Scyther (005)
Astral Radiance · 5/189 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 130 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.39 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Astral Radiance printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 128 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#10 (joint) · Scyther (004)
Astral Radiance · 4/189 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 130 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.43 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Astral Radiance printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 128 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#9 · Scyther
Celestial Storm · 4/168 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$2.31 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Celestial Storm printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 140 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#5 (joint) · Scyther
Rebel Clash · 4/192 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.43 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Rebel Clash printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 151 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#5 (joint) · Rocket's Scyther ex
EX Team Rocket Returns · 102/109 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$350.00 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Gold Star tier uses the community 1-in-108-pack model. Here Comes Team Rocket! has uncertain individual odds and remains unavailable. Charmeleon is a box topper. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#5 (joint) · Scyther (57)
Aquapolis · 57/147 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$42.04 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Aquapolis printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 151 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#5 (joint) · Scyther (106)
Aquapolis · 106/147 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$86.66 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Aquapolis printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 151 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#4 · Scyther
Lost Thunder · 3/214 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 180 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.72 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Lost Thunder printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 178 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#3 · Scyther
Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault · SV1/SV94 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 230 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$9.79 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Shiny Vault cards use Hidden Fates packs. Baby shiny, shiny GX and full-art Trainer categories occupy separate pools. Gold cards and foil Energy allocations remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#2 · Scyther
Platinum · 130/127 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 300 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$35.26 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one Rare Secret group hit in about 100 packs, shared equally across 3 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
#1 · Scyther
Paldean Fates · 95/091 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 470 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$9.80 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Shiny Scyther spreads its blade-like arms across a white background filled with stars. This is 095/091 from Paldean Fates, a separate numbered chase from the ordinary Scyther and its reverse holo.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
How we compare Scyther pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Scyther within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Scyther pull-rate questions
Which Scyther card is hardest to pull?
Scyther 95/091 (Paldean Fates, Holofoil) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 470 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Scyther ever released.
Will opening 470 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 470 independent packs gives an estimated 63.1% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Scyther to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Scyther guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Scyther?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Scyther promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.
Why can a reverse-holo Scyther rank above a rarer-looking card?
This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.