OG CARDS
← Hardest-to-pull rankings

11 Hardest Rapidash Pokémon Cards to Pull

Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.

Galarian Rapidash’s full-art and alternate-art V cards give the species a different look from its fiery Kanto artwork. Their separate collector numbers matter when comparing listings. This guide brings together estimated English pull rates without using popularity or price to set the order.

Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.

Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Rapidash ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.

How the ranking works ↓

We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.

Rapidash pull rates at a glance

A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.

Estimated individual-card pull rates, hardest first
RankCard & setEstimated packs
1 =Galarian Rapidash V (Full Art) 167/198Chilling Reign · Holofoil~1 in 1,000Rough estimate
1 =Galarian Rapidash V (Alternate Full Art) 168/198Chilling Reign · Holofoil~1 in 1,000Rough estimate
3Galarian Rapidash SV048/SV122Shining Fates: Shiny Vault · Holofoil~1 in 460
4Rapidash 189/182Destined Rivals · Holofoil~1 in 280
5Rapidash 24/236Cosmic Eclipse · Reverse Holofoil~1 in 190Rough estimate
6 =Rapidash (26) 26/165Expedition · Reverse Holofoil~1 in 160Rough estimate
6 =Rapidash (62) 62/165Expedition · Reverse Holofoil~1 in 160Rough estimate
6 =Galarian Rapidash 82/202Sword & Shield Base Set · Reverse Holofoil~1 in 160Rough estimate
9Rapidash 31/147Aquapolis · Reverse Holofoil~1 in 150Rough estimate
10 =Rapidash 22/195Silver Tempest · Reverse Holofoil~1 in 140Rough estimate
10 =Rapidash 18/181Team Up · Reverse Holofoil~1 in 140Rough estimate

The hardest-to-pull Rapidash countdown

  1. #10 (joint) · Rapidash

    Team Up · 18/181 · English · Reverse Holofoil

    Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.

    Estimated pull rate

    About 1 in 140 packs

    Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price

    $0.67 USD

    Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC

    This Team Up reverse holo is a separate target from its ordinary finish. Where a set has more than one artwork of the same Pokémon, the collector number matters just as much as the name.

    Where this estimate comes from

    Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 145 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.

    Browse Team Up cards →
  2. #10 (joint) · Rapidash

    Silver Tempest · 22/195 · English · Reverse Holofoil

    Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.

    Estimated pull rate

    About 1 in 140 packs

    Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price

    $0.35 USD

    Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC

    This Silver Tempest printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.

    Where this estimate comes from

    Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 144 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.

    Browse Silver Tempest cards →
  3. #9 · Rapidash

    Aquapolis · 31/147 · English · Reverse Holofoil

    Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.

    Estimated pull rate

    About 1 in 150 packs

    Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price

    $89.00 USD

    Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC

    This Aquapolis printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.

    Where this estimate comes from

    Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 151 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.

    Browse Aquapolis cards →
  4. #6 (joint) · Galarian Rapidash

    Sword & Shield Base Set · 82/202 · English · Reverse Holofoil

    Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.

    Estimated pull rate

    About 1 in 160 packs

    Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price

    $4.02 USD

    Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC

    This Sword & Shield Base Set printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.

    Where this estimate comes from

    Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 165 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.

    Browse Sword & Shield Base Set cards →
  5. #6 (joint) · Rapidash (62)

    Expedition · 62/165 · English · Reverse Holofoil

    Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.

    Estimated pull rate

    About 1 in 160 packs

    Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price

    $46.98 USD

    Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC

    Expedition’s e-Reader-era design gives this printing a different look from modern cards. This entry ranks the reverse holo of the exact collector number shown, rather than every foil card with the same Pokémon name.

    Where this estimate comes from

    Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 159 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.

    Browse Expedition cards →
  6. #6 (joint) · Rapidash (26)

    Expedition · 26/165 · English · Reverse Holofoil

    Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.

    Estimated pull rate

    About 1 in 160 packs

    Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price

    $90.00 USD

    Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC

    Expedition’s e-Reader-era design gives this printing a different look from modern cards. This entry ranks the reverse holo of the exact collector number shown, rather than every foil card with the same Pokémon name.

    Where this estimate comes from

    Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 159 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.

    Browse Expedition cards →
  7. #5 · Rapidash

    Cosmic Eclipse · 24/236 · English · Reverse Holofoil

    Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.

    Estimated pull rate

    About 1 in 190 packs

    Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price

    $0.67 USD

    Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC

    This Cosmic Eclipse printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.

    Where this estimate comes from

    Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 193 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.

    Browse Cosmic Eclipse cards →
  8. #4 · Rapidash

    Destined Rivals · 189/182 · English · Holofoil

    Estimated pull rate

    About 1 in 280 packs

    Holofoil · Estimated raw price

    $6.62 USD

    Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC

    Where this estimate comes from

    The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.

    Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.

    Browse Destined Rivals cards →
  9. #3 · Galarian Rapidash

    Shining Fates: Shiny Vault · SV048/SV122 · English · Holofoil

    Estimated pull rate

    About 1 in 460 packs

    Holofoil · Estimated raw price

    $13.64 USD

    Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC

    Where this estimate comes from

    The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.

    Shiny Vault cards use Shining Fates packs. Community 2,187-pack sample combines shiny V and VMAX in one tier. Individual gold-card odds remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.

    Browse Shining Fates: Shiny Vault cards →
  10. #1 (joint) · Galarian Rapidash V (Alternate Full Art)

    Chilling Reign · 168/198 · English · Holofoil

    Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.

    Estimated pull rate

    About 1 in 1,000 packs

    Holofoil · Estimated raw price

    $89.95 USD

    Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC

    Where this estimate comes from

    Uses the median group frequency (3.9% per pack) from Evolving Skies, Shining Fates, Astral Radiance, Champion's Path, Darkness Ablaze, divided among 39 cards in this set's group. Those sets are comparisons, not evidence for this set.

    Browse Chilling Reign cards →
  11. #1 (joint) · Galarian Rapidash V (Full Art)

    Chilling Reign · 167/198 · English · Holofoil

    Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.

    Estimated pull rate

    About 1 in 1,000 packs

    Holofoil · Estimated raw price

    $15.95 USD

    Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC

    Galarian Rapidash’s flowing purple mane and long horn fill a colourful full-art background. This is 167/198; the alternate scene at 168/198 is a separate artwork even when their estimated odds match.

    Where this estimate comes from

    Uses the median group frequency (3.9% per pack) from Evolving Skies, Shining Fates, Astral Radiance, Champion's Path, Darkness Ablaze, divided among 39 cards in this set's group. Those sets are comparisons, not evidence for this set.

    Browse Chilling Reign cards →

How we compare Rapidash pull rates

We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Rapidash within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.

Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.

Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.

Rapidash pull-rate questions

Which Rapidash card is hardest to pull?

Galarian Rapidash V (Alternate Full Art) 168/198 (Chilling Reign, Holofoil) and Galarian Rapidash V (Full Art) 167/198 (Chilling Reign, Holofoil) share the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 1,000 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Rapidash ever released.

Will opening 1,000 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?

No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 1,000 independent packs gives an estimated 63.0% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.

Is the hardest Rapidash to pull also the most expensive?

Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Rapidash guide compares available raw prices instead.

Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Rapidash?

These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Rapidash promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.

Why can a reverse-holo Rapidash rank above a rarer-looking card?

This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.