12 Hardest Muk Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Muk’s solo GX cards and its TAG TEAM with Alolan Muk offer colourful alternatives to smaller set illustrations. Rainbow and full-art versions are distinct chases. This guide compares estimated English odds and makes the rough assumptions behind some of those rarities visible.
Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Muk ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Muk pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muk & Alolan Muk GX (Secret) 220/214Unbroken Bonds · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,100Very low confidence |
| 2 | Alolan Muk GX (Secret) 157/147Burning Shadows · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,000Very low confidence |
| 3 = | Muk & Alolan Muk GX (196) (Full Art) 196/214Unbroken Bonds · Holofoil | ~1 in 620 |
| 3 = | Muk & Alolan Muk GX (197) (Full Art) 197/214Unbroken Bonds · Holofoil | ~1 in 620 |
| 5 | Alolan Muk GX (Full Art) 138/147Burning Shadows · Holofoil | ~1 in 430 |
| 6 | Alolan Muk 131/236Cosmic Eclipse · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 190Rough estimate |
| 7 = | Muk 23/147Aquapolis · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
| 7 = | Muk 101/189Darkness Ablaze · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
| 9 = | Alolan Muk 58/149Sun & Moon Base Set · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 9 = | Alolan Muk 84/181Team Up · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 9 = | Muk 63/181Team Up · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 9 = | Muk & Alolan Muk GX 61/214Unbroken Bonds · Holofoil | ~1 in 140 |
The hardest-to-pull Muk countdown
#9 (joint) · Muk & Alolan Muk GX
Unbroken Bonds · 61/214 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$24.67 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#9 (joint) · Muk
Team Up · 63/181 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.23 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Team Up reverse holo is a separate target from its ordinary finish. Where a set has more than one artwork of the same Pokémon, the collector number matters just as much as the name.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 145 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#9 (joint) · Alolan Muk
Team Up · 84/181 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$2.38 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Team Up reverse holo is a separate target from its ordinary finish. Where a set has more than one artwork of the same Pokémon, the collector number matters just as much as the name.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 145 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#9 (joint) · Alolan Muk
Sun & Moon Base Set · 58/149 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.31 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Sun & Moon Base Set printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 136 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#7 (joint) · Muk
Darkness Ablaze · 101/189 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.47 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Darkness Ablaze printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 155 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#7 (joint) · Muk
Aquapolis · 23/147 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$58.00 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Aquapolis printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 151 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#6 · Alolan Muk
Cosmic Eclipse · 131/236 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 190 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.33 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Cosmic Eclipse printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 193 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#5 · Alolan Muk GX (Full Art)
Burning Shadows · 138/147 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 430 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$5.90 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#3 (joint) · Muk & Alolan Muk GX (197) (Full Art)
Unbroken Bonds · 197/214 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 620 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$108.06 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#3 (joint) · Muk & Alolan Muk GX (196) (Full Art)
Unbroken Bonds · 196/214 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 620 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$30.63 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#2 · Alolan Muk GX (Secret)
Burning Shadows · 157/147 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,000 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$17.80 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one Rare Rainbow group hit in about 80 packs, shared equally across 13 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
#1 · Muk & Alolan Muk GX (Secret)
Unbroken Bonds · 220/214 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,100 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$38.85 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Muk and Alolan Muk fill this rainbow TAG TEAM with contrasting shapes and colours. The secret 220/214 printing is separate from the other pair artworks. Its rough odds use an illustrative rarity assumption and remain very low confidence.
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one Rare Rainbow group hit in about 80 packs, shared equally across 14 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
How we compare Muk pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Muk within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Muk pull-rate questions
Which Muk card is hardest to pull?
Muk & Alolan Muk GX (Secret) 220/214 (Unbroken Bonds, Holofoil) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 1,100 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Muk ever released.
Will opening 1,100 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 1,100 independent packs gives an estimated 62.6% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Muk to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Muk guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Muk?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Muk promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.
Why can a reverse-holo Muk rank above a rarer-looking card?
This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.