13 Hardest Kakuna Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Kakuna offers a quieter collecting project built around artwork, set differences and foil finishes. This guide focuses on estimated odds for exact English printings. Reverse-holo estimates are labelled as rough models, with the ordinary non-holo version kept separate.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Kakuna ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Kakuna pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kakuna 70/144Skyridge · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
| 2 = | Kakuna 2/198Chilling Reign · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 2 = | Kakuna 4/181Team Up · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 2 = | Kakuna 2/185Vivid Voltage · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 5 | Kakuna 2/160Primal Clash · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 130Rough estimate |
| 6 | Kakuna 4/146XY Base Set · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 120Rough estimate |
| 7 = | Kakuna 46/113EX Delta Species · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 110Rough estimate |
| 7 = | Kakuna 50/110Legendary Collection · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 110 |
| 9 = | Kakuna 36/112EX FireRed & LeafGreen · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 100Rough estimate |
| 9 = | Kakuna 73/106Great Encounters · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 100Rough estimate |
| 9 = | Kakuna 2/116Plasma Freeze · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 100Rough estimate |
| 9 = | Kakuna 14/165Pokémon 151 · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 100Rough estimate |
| 9 = | Kakuna 66/111Rising Rivals · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 100Rough estimate |
The hardest-to-pull Kakuna countdown
#9 (joint) · Kakuna
Rising Rivals · 66/111 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 100 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.89 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Rising Rivals printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 102 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#9 (joint) · Kakuna
Pokémon 151 · 14/165 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 100 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$2.16 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
The reverse holo is a separate finish of this numbered 151 card, rather than an illustration rare. A shared artwork image does not show every foil difference, so match the finish as well as the collector number.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1.5 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 153 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#9 (joint) · Kakuna
Plasma Freeze · 2/116 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 100 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.49 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Plasma Freeze printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 100 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#9 (joint) · Kakuna
Great Encounters · 73/106 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 100 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.29 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Great Encounters printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 102 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#9 (joint) · Kakuna
EX FireRed & LeafGreen · 36/112 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 100 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$39.18 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
The reverse-holo finish gives this EX FireRed & LeafGreen printing its own place in a set checklist. Compare the number carefully where the expansion includes another artwork of the same Pokémon.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 103 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#7 (joint) · Kakuna
Legendary Collection · 50/110 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 110 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$150.00 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Legendary Collection’s distinctive reverse-holo treatment makes this a different collecting target from the ordinary finish. The displayed image may be an artwork reference; check the actual foil pattern when buying.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Reverse holos use the community single-sheet estimate of 1/110. Common and uncommon estimates approximate the mixed nine-card sheet.
#7 (joint) · Kakuna
EX Delta Species · 46/113 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 110 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$37.09 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This EX Delta Species printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 107 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#6 · Kakuna
XY Base Set · 4/146 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 120 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.59 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This XY Base Set printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 123 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#5 · Kakuna
Primal Clash · 2/160 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 130 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.45 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Primal Clash printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 132 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#2 (joint) · Kakuna
Vivid Voltage · 2/185 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.26 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Vivid Voltage printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 142 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#2 (joint) · Kakuna
Team Up · 4/181 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$3.72 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Team Up reverse holo is a separate target from its ordinary finish. Where a set has more than one artwork of the same Pokémon, the collector number matters just as much as the name.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 145 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#2 (joint) · Kakuna
Chilling Reign · 2/198 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.23 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Chilling Reign printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 136 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#1 · Kakuna
Skyridge · 70/144 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$77.50 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Kakuna’s bright yellow shell stands against a patterned woodland backdrop inside the wide e-Reader-style border. This entry is the reverse holo, and its rough odds describe that finish rather than the ordinary card.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 150 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
How we compare Kakuna pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Kakuna within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Kakuna pull-rate questions
Which Kakuna card is hardest to pull?
Kakuna 70/144 (Skyridge, Reverse Holofoil) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 150 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Kakuna ever released.
Will opening 150 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 150 independent packs gives an estimated 63.3% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Kakuna to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Kakuna guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Kakuna?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Kakuna promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.
Why can a reverse-holo Kakuna rank above a rarer-looking card?
This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.