10 Hardest Dugtrio Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Alolan Dugtrio and Team Rocket’s Dugtrio give this evolution line distinct collecting themes. Illustration rares add larger scenes to the older framed cards. This guide compares the estimated English odds for each printing, so shared Pokémon names do not hide different rarity pools.
Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Dugtrio ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Dugtrio pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alolan Dugtrio 208/191Surging Sparks · Holofoil | ~1 in 300 |
| 2 | Team Rocket's Dugtrio 239/217Ascended Heroes · Holofoil | ~1 in 290 |
| 3 = | Alolan Dugtrio 123/214Lost Thunder · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 180Rough estimate |
| 3 = | Alolan Dugtrio 122/214Unbroken Bonds · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 180Rough estimate |
| 3 = | Dugtrio 86/214Unbroken Bonds · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 180Rough estimate |
| 6 = | Dugtrio (10) 10/165Expedition · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 160Rough estimate |
| 6 = | Dugtrio (44) 44/165Expedition · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 160Rough estimate |
| 6 = | Dugtrio 93/202Sword & Shield Base Set · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 160Rough estimate |
| 9 = | Dugtrio 85/189Darkness Ablaze · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
| 9 = | Dugtrio 52/144Skyridge · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
The hardest-to-pull Dugtrio countdown
#9 (joint) · Dugtrio
Skyridge · 52/144 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$149.99 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
The e-Reader-style border is part of this Skyridge card’s visual identity. This estimate is for the reverse holo specifically; another finish can share the same artwork and collector number.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 150 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#9 (joint) · Dugtrio
Darkness Ablaze · 85/189 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.32 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Darkness Ablaze printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 155 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#6 (joint) · Dugtrio
Sword & Shield Base Set · 93/202 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 160 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.62 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Sword & Shield Base Set printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 165 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#6 (joint) · Dugtrio (44)
Expedition · 44/165 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 160 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$45.00 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Expedition’s e-Reader-era design gives this printing a different look from modern cards. This entry ranks the reverse holo of the exact collector number shown, rather than every foil card with the same Pokémon name.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 159 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#6 (joint) · Dugtrio (10)
Expedition · 10/165 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 160 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$52.50 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Expedition’s e-Reader-era design gives this printing a different look from modern cards. This entry ranks the reverse holo of the exact collector number shown, rather than every foil card with the same Pokémon name.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 159 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#3 (joint) · Dugtrio
Unbroken Bonds · 86/214 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 180 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.59 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This reverse holo offers a smaller collecting target alongside Unbroken Bonds’ GX chases. Its estimated chance concerns this particular number and finish, not the probability of finding any reverse holo.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 179 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#3 (joint) · Alolan Dugtrio
Unbroken Bonds · 122/214 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 180 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.78 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This reverse holo offers a smaller collecting target alongside Unbroken Bonds’ GX chases. Its estimated chance concerns this particular number and finish, not the probability of finding any reverse holo.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 179 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#3 (joint) · Alolan Dugtrio
Lost Thunder · 123/214 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 180 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$17.32 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Lost Thunder printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 178 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#2 · Team Rocket's Dugtrio
Ascended Heroes · 239/217 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 290 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$3.64 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#1 · Alolan Dugtrio
Surging Sparks · 208/191 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 300 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$6.98 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Alolan Dugtrio’s long flowing hair stands against a bold tropical landscape with bright flowers and a towering white cloud. This illustration rare is 208/191, a different target from the ordinary Alolan Dugtrio artwork.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
How we compare Dugtrio pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Dugtrio within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Dugtrio pull-rate questions
Which Dugtrio card is hardest to pull?
Alolan Dugtrio 208/191 (Surging Sparks, Holofoil) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 300 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Dugtrio ever released.
Will opening 300 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 300 independent packs gives an estimated 63.3% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Dugtrio to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Dugtrio guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Dugtrio?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Dugtrio promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.
Why can a reverse-holo Dugtrio rank above a rarer-looking card?
This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.