10 Hardest Clefairy Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Lillie’s Clefairy ex adds Trainer-and-Pokémon artwork to a collection that also includes older Clefairy reverse holos. Different numbered versions can share the same card name. This guide compares their estimated English pack odds and gives each printing its own place in the countdown.
Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Clefairy ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Clefairy pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillie's Clefairy ex 280/217Ascended Heroes · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,500 |
| 2 | Lillie's Clefairy ex 184/159Journey Together · Holofoil | ~1 in 520 |
| 3 = | Lillie's Clefairy ex 76/217Ascended Heroes · Holofoil | ~1 in 190 |
| 3 = | Clefairy 144/236Cosmic Eclipse · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 190Rough estimate |
| 5 | Clefairy 132/214Unbroken Bonds · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 180Rough estimate |
| 6 | Lillie's Clefairy ex 173/159Journey Together · Holofoil | ~1 in 170 |
| 7 | Clefairy 101/165Expedition · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 160Rough estimate |
| 8 = | Clefairy 62/196Lost Origin · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
| 8 = | Clefairy 74/192Rebel Clash · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
| 10 | Clefairy 63/185Vivid Voltage · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
The hardest-to-pull Clefairy countdown
#10 · Clefairy
Vivid Voltage · 63/185 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.32 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Vivid Voltage printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 142 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#8 (joint) · Clefairy
Rebel Clash · 74/192 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.52 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Rebel Clash printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 151 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#8 (joint) · Clefairy
Lost Origin · 62/196 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.45 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Lost Origin printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 149 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#7 · Clefairy
Expedition · 101/165 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 160 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$105.62 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Expedition’s e-Reader-era design gives this printing a different look from modern cards. This entry ranks the reverse holo of the exact collector number shown, rather than every foil card with the same Pokémon name.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 159 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#6 · Lillie's Clefairy ex
Journey Together · 173/159 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 170 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$6.56 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
A pale background and bold outlines give Lillie’s Clefairy ex a clean full-art treatment. This ultra-rare 173/159 version is a different chase from the flower-filled special illustration rare.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#5 · Clefairy
Unbroken Bonds · 132/214 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 180 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$3.51 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This reverse holo offers a smaller collecting target alongside Unbroken Bonds’ GX chases. Its estimated chance concerns this particular number and finish, not the probability of finding any reverse holo.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 179 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#3 (joint) · Clefairy
Cosmic Eclipse · 144/236 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 190 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$4.81 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Cosmic Eclipse printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 193 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#3 (joint) · Lillie's Clefairy ex
Ascended Heroes · 76/217 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 190 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.45 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Clefairy reaches forward through a sparkling outdoor scene, with Lillie’s portrait marking the Trainer’s Pokémon identity. Number 076/217 is the regular ex printing in Ascended Heroes, separate from 280/217.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#2 · Lillie's Clefairy ex
Journey Together · 184/159 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 520 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$75.70 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Lillie and Clefairy share a flower-filled outdoor scene in this special illustration rare. It makes the Trainer bond part of the artwork, while 184/159 distinguishes this version from the ultra rare and regular ex.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#1 · Lillie's Clefairy ex
Ascended Heroes · 280/217 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,500 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$95.05 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Lillie hugs Clefairy in a bright, cheerful illustration that fills the card. This is the 280/217 printing from Ascended Heroes, separate from their Journey Together artworks and the regular ex in this set.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
How we compare Clefairy pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Clefairy within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Clefairy pull-rate questions
Which Clefairy card is hardest to pull?
Lillie's Clefairy ex 280/217 (Ascended Heroes, Holofoil) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 1,500 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Clefairy ever released.
Will opening 1,500 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 1,500 independent packs gives an estimated 62.5% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Clefairy to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Clefairy guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Clefairy?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Clefairy promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.
Why can a reverse-holo Clefairy rank above a rarer-looking card?
This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.