10 Hardest Charizard Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
A gold Mega Evolution, a rainbow VMAX or a black Shiny Charizard: each offers a different kind of chase. But which Charizard cards are hardest to pull? This countdown compares individual-card odds across supported English releases, with pictures, current raw prices and a calculator for each card.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This ranks cards with supported estimates in our pull-rate guide. It does not establish the hardest Charizard ever printed. Missing rates and illustrative guesses are excluded; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Charizard pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mega Charizard X ex 130/094Phantasmal Flames | ~1 in 1,300 |
| 2 | Mega Charizard Y ex 294/217Ascended Heroes | ~1 in 1,100 |
| 3 | Charizard & Braixen GX (Full Art) 212/236Cosmic Eclipse | ~1 in 680 |
| 4 = | Charizard VSTAR (Secret) 174/172Brilliant Stars | ~1 in 620 |
| 4 = | Reshiram & Charizard GX (Full Art) 194/214Unbroken Bonds | ~1 in 620 |
| 6 | Charizard ex 234/091Paldean Fates | ~1 in 470 |
| 7 | Mega Charizard X ex 125/094Phantasmal Flames | ~1 in 400 |
| 8 | Charizard GX SV49/SV94Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault | ~1 in 370 |
| 9 = | Charizard 4/10230th Celebration Classic Collection | ~1 in 340 |
| 9 = | Charizard VMAX (Secret) 74/73Champion's Path | ~1 in 340 |
The hardest-to-pull Charizard countdown
#9 (joint) · Charizard VMAX (Secret)
Champion's Path · 74/73 · English
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 340 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$185.17 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Find on eBay ↗Calculate your chance of pulling this card →Rainbow colour runs across Charizard’s towering Gigantamax form on this Champion’s Path VMAX. It is one of two very different Charizard chases in the set: the other is the black Shiny Charizard V. This entry is specifically the rainbow 074/073 printing.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
3,192-pack community dataset. Shiny Charizard V and gold Suspicious Food Tin are separate categories; no standard booster box is assumed. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#9 (joint) · Charizard
30th Celebration Classic Collection · 4/102 · English
Artwork reference only: the supplied scan shows the 25th-anniversary Celebrations printing. An exact scan of this 30th Celebration card is unavailable.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 340 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$149.71 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Find on eBay ↗Calculate your chance of pulling this card →This Classic Collection printing revisits the familiar Base Set Charizard artwork in a later anniversary release. Its odds here refer to regular 30th Celebration booster packs. The dedicated Classic Collection pack is a different product and must not be treated as having the same odds.
Where this estimate comes from
Reported community sample: 49 copies in 16,760 packs. This is an observed sample, not a guaranteed frequency.
Regular 30th Celebration packs only. Community tracking reports 2,034 Classic hits in 20,000 packs. Available individual counts use a separate 16,760-pack sample, as transcribed in the linked public report; these are reported observations, not independently audited or official odds. Individual frequencies differ. Other cards use a separately labelled rough group-share estimate. The UPC's dedicated three-card Classic Collection pack is a different product and is excluded. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#8 · Charizard GX
Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault · SV49/SV94 · English
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 370 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$779.27 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Find on eBay ↗Calculate your chance of pulling this card →The black Shiny Charizard-GX stands against a textured full-art background, with blue-green inner wings adding a sharp flash of colour. SV49/SV94 belongs to the Shiny Vault found in Hidden Fates packs. The regular Charizard-GX and the collection promos are different cards with different availability.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Shiny Vault cards use Hidden Fates packs. Baby shiny, shiny GX and full-art Trainer categories occupy separate pools. Gold cards and foil Energy allocations remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#7 · Mega Charizard X ex
Phantasmal Flames · 125/094 · English
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 400 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$571.39 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Find on eBay ↗Calculate your chance of pulling this card →Blue flames and a dark setting give this Mega Charizard X ex special illustration rare a dramatic presence. It offers a different collecting choice from the expansion’s gold Mega Hyper Rare: a full scene rather than the gold treatment. Their pull-rate estimates use separate rarity pools.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#6 · Charizard ex
Paldean Fates · 234/091 · English
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 470 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$261.93 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Find on eBay ↗Calculate your chance of pulling this card →AKIRA EGAWA gives Shiny Charizard ex an intricate, jewel-like setting, combining its dark colouring with the crystalline look of Terastallization. The special illustration rare is a separate card from the Charizard ex tin promo. For this chase, look for 234/091.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#4 (joint) · Reshiram & Charizard GX (Full Art)
Unbroken Bonds · 194/214 · English
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 620 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$96.16 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Find on eBay ↗Calculate your chance of pulling this card →Reshiram and Charizard bring two fire-breathing favourites together on one full-art TAG TEAM card. The collector number matters here: 194/214 is separate from the other Unbroken Bonds artworks and the gold promo. Its estimated odds come from the full-art Pokémon pool.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#4 (joint) · Charizard VSTAR (Secret)
Brilliant Stars · 174/172 · English
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 620 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$55.28 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Find on eBay ↗Calculate your chance of pulling this card →This rainbow Charizard VSTAR trades the familiar orange palette for a sweep of colour. It is a different chase from the Charizard V alternate artwork featuring Venusaur. The estimate uses the Rainbow Rare pool, so pulling any VSTAR is not the same as pulling this particular card.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening frequencies; individual card estimates divide the category by its eligible card pool. Alternate-art allocations and ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable unless separately supported. Source sample: 1004 packs. Full-art/alternate-art categories and gallery cards are not combined. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#3 · Charizard & Braixen GX (Full Art)
Cosmic Eclipse · 212/236 · English
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 680 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$89.39 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Find on eBay ↗Calculate your chance of pulling this card →Charizard shares the frame with Braixen on this full-art TAG TEAM. The paired Pokémon make it a distinctive addition to a Charizard binder, with a different feel from the solo cards. This estimate applies to 212/236; the regular artwork and rainbow version have their own identities.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#2 · Mega Charizard Y ex
Ascended Heroes · 294/217 · English
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,100 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$228.89 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Find on eBay ↗Calculate your chance of pulling this card →Mega Charizard Y takes the spotlight in this Mega Hyper Rare. Its gold treatment makes a natural companion to the Mega Charizard X chase from Phantasmal Flames. The two come from different expansions, so their shared rarity name does not give them identical pull rates.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#1 · Mega Charizard X ex
Phantasmal Flames · 130/094 · English
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,300 packs
An average waiting time, never a guaranteed pull.
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$184.65 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Find on eBay ↗Calculate your chance of pulling this card →The Mega Hyper Rare turns Mega Charizard X ex into a striking gold showcase. It shares its name with several other Phantasmal Flames cards, but 130/094 belongs to a separate rarity tier. Pulling an ordinary Mega Charizard X ex does not mean you have found this version.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Published TCGplayer opening frequencies. Specific-card rates assume an equal share of its rarity pool; these are estimates, not manufacturer odds. Common and uncommon cards use a uniform slot approximation. Ordinary reverse odds are unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
How we compare Charizard pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Charizard within that rarity. Most estimates use community opening data or community print-sheet models, with equal chances assumed within the eligible pool. Individual observations are labelled separately.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from supported estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter after their pull-rate estimates are supported; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Some famous chases, including Gold Star Charizard, Crystal Charizard, Burning Shadows rainbow Charizard-GX, lack a qualifying estimate in the current model. Their absence does not make them easier to pull. See the complete Charizard collection.
Charizard pull-rate questions
Which Charizard card is hardest to pull?
Mega Charizard X ex 130/094 (Phantasmal Flames) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 1,300 packs. This comparison covers supported estimates, not every Charizard ever released.
Will opening 1,300 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 1,300 independent packs gives an estimated 64.7% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Charizard to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Charizard guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Charizard?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Charizard promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.