13 Hardest Aerodactyl Pokémon Cards to Pull
Ranked by estimated pull rates from English booster packs.
Aerodactyl’s GX, VSTAR and alternate-art cards give collectors several dramatic versions of the fossil Pokémon. Rainbow and scene-based artworks are distinct numbered chases. This guide compares estimated English odds, keeping illustrative rarity assumptions visible alongside the card details.
Pull rates are estimates—see how this ranking works.
Estimated odds, limited coverage. This uses the same estimates as our pull-rate calculators, including labelled rough models and very-low-confidence assumptions. It does not establish the hardest Aerodactyl ever printed; nearby estimates may not represent a real difference in difficulty.
How the ranking works ↓We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made through our eBay links. Card images are artwork references; edition stamps and foil finishes may differ.
Aerodactyl pull rates at a glance
A larger pack figure means a lower estimated chance. Figures are rounded to two significant digits; matching rounded estimates share a rank.
| Rank | Card & set | Estimated packs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aerodactyl VSTAR (Secret) 199/196Lost Origin · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,200 |
| 2 | Aerodactyl GX (Secret) 244/236Unified Minds · Holofoil | ~1 in 1,000Very low confidence |
| 3 | Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art) 180/196Lost Origin · Holofoil | ~1 in 800 |
| 4 | Aerodactyl V (Full Art) 179/196Lost Origin · Holofoil | ~1 in 660 |
| 5 | Aerodactyl GX (Full Art) 224/236Unified Minds · Holofoil | ~1 in 540 |
| 6 | Aerodactyl VSTAR 93/196Lost Origin · Holofoil | ~1 in 160 |
| 7 | Aerodactyl 1/144Skyridge · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 150Rough estimate |
| 8 | Aerodactyl 130/181Team Up · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 140Rough estimate |
| 9 | Aerodactyl GX 106/236Unified Minds · Holofoil | ~1 in 130 |
| 10 = | Aerodactyl (Delta Species) 35/110EX Holon Phantoms · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 100Rough estimate |
| 10 = | Aerodactyl V 92/196Lost Origin · Holofoil | ~1 in 100 |
| 10 = | Aerodactyl 142/165Pokémon 151 · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 100Rough estimate |
| 10 = | Aerodactyl GL 55/111Rising Rivals · Reverse Holofoil | ~1 in 100Rough estimate |
The hardest-to-pull Aerodactyl countdown
#10 (joint) · Aerodactyl GL
Rising Rivals · 55/111 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 100 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$8.26 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Rising Rivals printing adds a reverse-holo version to the Pokémon’s checklist. The estimate concerns the exact collector number shown. An ordinary card with the same artwork does not count as this foil pull.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 102 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#10 (joint) · Aerodactyl
Pokémon 151 · 142/165 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 100 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.12 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
The reverse holo is a separate finish of this numbered 151 card, rather than an illustration rare. A shared artwork image does not show every foil difference, so match the finish as well as the collector number.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1.5 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 153 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#10 (joint) · Aerodactyl V
Lost Origin · 92/196 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 100 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$0.94 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
TCGplayer physical-pack opening frequencies. Regular V, full-art, alternate-art and gallery tiers remain separate. Uniform per-card estimates do not reproduce factory collation. Ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#10 (joint) · Aerodactyl (Delta Species)
EX Holon Phantoms · 35/110 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 100 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$78.15 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
The Delta Species printing adds a different collecting identity to this Pokémon. This entry concerns its reverse-holo finish; the ordinary version belongs to a separate odds calculation.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 104 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#9 · Aerodactyl GX
Unified Minds · 106/236 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 130 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$4.44 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#8 · Aerodactyl
Team Up · 130/181 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 140 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.45 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
This Team Up reverse holo is a separate target from its ordinary finish. Where a set has more than one artwork of the same Pokémon, the collector number matters just as much as the name.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 145 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#7 · Aerodactyl
Skyridge · 1/144 · English · Reverse Holofoil
Rough estimate. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 150 packs
Reverse Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$135.74 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
The e-Reader-style border is part of this Skyridge card’s visual identity. This estimate is for the reverse holo specifically; another finish can share the same artwork and collector number.
Where this estimate comes from
Assumes 1 effective ordinary reverse-holo slots per pack, shared equally across 150 eligible reverse printings. This simplifies special-card replacements and unequal print sheets; the slot allowance is a modelling assumption.
#6 · Aerodactyl VSTAR
Lost Origin · 93/196 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 160 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$1.17 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
TCGplayer physical-pack opening frequencies. Regular V, full-art, alternate-art and gallery tiers remain separate. Uniform per-card estimates do not reproduce factory collation. Ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#5 · Aerodactyl GX (Full Art)
Unified Minds · 224/236 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 540 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$7.89 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
Community opening and sheet model. Full-art Pokémon have a separate pool; full-art Trainer, Rainbow and gold-sheet allocations are withheld when individual frequencies are uncertain. One dedicated Basic Energy slot per pack. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#4 · Aerodactyl V (Full Art)
Lost Origin · 179/196 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 660 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$2.64 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
TCGplayer physical-pack opening frequencies. Regular V, full-art, alternate-art and gallery tiers remain separate. Uniform per-card estimates do not reproduce factory collation. Ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#3 · Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art)
Lost Origin · 180/196 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 800 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$200.65 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Aerodactyl glides above a wide prehistoric landscape filled with other Pokémon in this alternate artwork. The 180/196 number identifies the scene-based V card, distinct from its full-art V and VSTAR versions.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
TCGplayer physical-pack opening frequencies. Regular V, full-art, alternate-art and gallery tiers remain separate. Uniform per-card estimates do not reproduce factory collation. Ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
#2 · Aerodactyl GX (Secret)
Unified Minds · 244/236 · English · Holofoil
Very low confidence. Limited evidence; actual odds may vary greatly.
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,000 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$22.39 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Where this estimate comes from
Illustrative starting assumption: one Rare Rainbow group hit in about 80 packs, shared equally across 13 eligible cards. No measured rate supports this assumed frequency; use it only as a rough scenario.
#1 · Aerodactyl VSTAR (Secret)
Lost Origin · 199/196 · English · Holofoil
Estimated pull rate
About 1 in 1,200 packs
Holofoil · Estimated raw price
$15.30 USD
Price observed Nov 4, 2026 UTC
Aerodactyl’s wings and open jaws stretch across the rainbow treatment on this secret VSTAR. The 199/196 number distinguishes it from the regular VSTAR and the scene-based Aerodactyl V artworks in Lost Origin.
Where this estimate comes from
The estimated rarity frequency is divided across the eligible cards in that pool, assuming equal individual chances. It is not a measured count of this particular card.
TCGplayer physical-pack opening frequencies. Regular V, full-art, alternate-art and gallery tiers remain separate. Uniform per-card estimates do not reproduce factory collation. Ordinary reverse odds remain unavailable. Independent pack calculations do not reproduce print-sheet collation.
How we compare Aerodactyl pull rates
We compare the chance of pulling one exact card from one English pack of its release. A rarity’s overall hit rate is different from the odds of finding a particular Aerodactyl within that rarity. Evidence ranges from reported community openings and print-sheet models to rough comparisons and assumed rarity frequencies. Each rough estimate carries its warning beside the odds; expand its explanation for the actual basis.
Japanese cards, guaranteed promos, deck cards and box toppers are outside this ranking. Vintage editions with shared odds take one position. Distinct pack-pulled finishes can qualify separately. Prices do not affect the order, and a missing price does not remove an otherwise eligible card.
Up to ten cards are selected automatically from available estimates, with any tie at the cutoff kept together. Estimates are rounded to two significant digits for comparison, not presented as precise measurements. New cards can enter when a matching printing and estimate are available; prices refresh with the catalogue. Descriptions stay with their card when the order changes.
Aerodactyl pull-rate questions
Which Aerodactyl card is hardest to pull?
Aerodactyl VSTAR (Secret) 199/196 (Lost Origin, Holofoil) has the lowest estimated chance among the qualifying cards here: about 1 in 1,200 packs. This is the current model’s ordering, including any rough assumptions labelled above. It does not cover every Aerodactyl ever released.
Will opening 1,200 packs guarantee the top-ranked card?
No. For the first card listed at rank 1, opening 1,200 independent packs gives an estimated 64.1% chance of at least one copy. The average waiting time is not a promise; actual packs and factory collation can behave differently from this model.
Is the hardest Aerodactyl to pull also the most expensive?
Not necessarily. Artwork, demand, condition and how much product exists also matter to collectors. This guide ranks estimated pack odds. Our most expensive Aerodactyl guide compares available raw prices instead.
Do a booster box or an Elite Trainer Box guarantee a Aerodactyl?
These estimates do not establish any product-level guarantee. A named Aerodactyl promo included in a product is separate from the random cards inside its booster packs. Use the exact-card calculator to explore pack quantities and its stated assumptions.
Why can a reverse-holo Aerodactyl rank above a rarer-looking card?
This compares one exact printing. A large reverse-holo pool can make a particular card’s modelled chance small even when reverse holos overall are common. Most of these estimates assume equal chances within the pool. That does not prove this Pokémon is short-printed, and it does not describe the ordinary non-holo version.